| Anticipating the Future of Higher Education in the Middle East
Sponsored by ELME
Dates to be Determined
James L. Morrison, Facilitator
Middle Eastern colleges and universities, like all institutions of higher education around the world, are being bombarded by tumultuous forces for change in the political, technological, social, economic, and environmental sectors, locally and globally. In order to plan effectively in this environment, institutional leaders must be able to anticipate the direction and implications of these forces in order to plan more effectively.
Objectives
The objective of this workshop was to assist leaders in colleges and universities and in higher education ministries to enhance their competency to systematically factor the external environment into their planning activities. The expected outcomes are that participants will gain experience in:
- identifying critical trends that define the context within which Middle Eastern higher education will function in the coming decade;
- identifying potential events that could affect Middle Eastern higher education;
- using strategic foresight tools to analyze and interpret potential events that could affect Middle Eastern higher education.
Preparation
Participants are requested to review the following publications prior to this conference:
Approaches to anticipating the future:
Suggested
- Morrison, J. L. (1996). "Anticipating the Future." On the Horizon, 4(3), 2-3.
- Morrison, J. L. (1997). "Transforming Educational Organizations" On the Horizon, 5(1), 2-3.
- Morrison, J. L. (1992). "Environmental Scanning.” In M. A. Whitely, J. D. Porter, and R. H. Fenske (Eds.), A Primer for New Institutional Researchers (pp. 86-99). Tallahassee, Florida: The Association for Institutional Research.
- Simpson, E. G., McGinty, D. L., and Morrison, J. L. Environmental Scanning at the Georgia Center for Continuing Education: A Progress Report. Continuing Higher Education Review, 1-20.
Additional
- Mack, T. "An Interview with a Futurist." Futures Research Quarterly, 2003, 19 (1), 61-69
- Morrison, J. L. US Higher Education in Transition. On the Horizon, 2003, 11(1), 6-10.
- Morrison, J. L. & Wilson, I (1997). "Analyzing Environments and Developing Scenarios for Uncertain Times.” in M. W. Peterson, D. D. Dill, L. A. Mets, and Associates (eds.), Planning and Management for a Changing Environment. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass Publishers.
- Ashley, W. L. & Morrison, J. L. (1996). "Anticipatory Management Tools for the 21st Century.” Futures Research Quarterly, 12 (2), 35-49.
- Ashley, W. L. & Morrison, J. L. (1997). "Anticipatory Management Tools for Better Decision Making.” The Futurist, 31(5), 47-50.
- Morrison, J. L., Renfro, W. L., and Boucher, W. (1984). Futures Research and the Strategic Planning Process. (1984). ASHE-ERIC Higher Education Research Report.
- Morrison, J. L. (2005). "Experiencing the Online Revolution." In G. Kearsley (ed.),Online learning: Personal Reflections on the Transformation of Education. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Educational Technology Publications.
Mailing List
All participants will be enrolled in the workshop mailing list (qatar@listserv.unc.edu) as a means of allowing them to ask and respond to questions prior to, during, and after the workshop.
Agenda
Tuesday, May 1 |
|
0830-0900 |
Registration |
0900-1045 |
What hinders, what helps, in anticipating the future |
| 1045-1130 |
An environmental scan: Driving forces affecting the future of higher education |
| 1130-1145 |
Break |
| 1145-1230 |
Identifying critical trends |
| 1230-1330 |
Lunch |
1330-1430 |
Discussion/prioritization of critical trends |
1430-1515 |
Group critical trend reports |
| 1515-1530 |
Break |
1530-1600 |
Identifying potential events |
1600-1615 |
Discussion of critical events |
1615-1500 |
Discussion of critical events |
Wednesday, May 2 |
|
| 0900-0920 |
Prioritize events |
| 0920-0945 |
Identify the signals that the five most critical events could occur |
| 0945-1000 |
Prepare group report of five most critical events and the signals that they could occur |
1000-1045 |
Group critical event reports |
1040-1100 |
Break
|
1100-1200 |
Strategic foresight tools and techniques
Using the probability-impact chart |
1200-1300 |
Lunch |
1300-1400 |
Probability-impact exercise group reports |
1400-1415 |
Strategic foresight tool: impact networks |
1415-1430 |
Break
|
1430-1515 |
Prepare and present impact network exercise group reports |
1515-1630 |
Environmental scanning as a strategic operational and management planning tool and a tool for organizational development
|
1630-1700 |
Wrap-up |
|