CLOUDS AND SUN
LINE
  HORIZON SITE  
Anticipating the Future of Higher Education in the Middle East

Sponsored by ELME
Dates to be Determined

James L. Morrison, Facilitator

Middle Eastern colleges and universities, like all institutions of higher education around the world, are being bombarded by tumultuous forces for change in the political, technological, social, economic, and environmental sectors, locally and globally. In order to plan effectively in this environment, institutional leaders must be able to anticipate the direction and implications of these forces in order to plan more effectively.

Objectives

The objective of this workshop was to assist leaders in colleges and universities and in higher education ministries to enhance their competency to systematically factor the external environment into their planning activities. The expected outcomes are that participants will gain experience in:

  • identifying critical trends that define the context within which Middle Eastern higher education will function in the coming decade;
  • identifying potential events that could affect Middle Eastern higher education;
  • using strategic foresight tools to analyze and interpret potential events that could affect Middle Eastern higher education.

Preparation 

Participants are requested to review the following publications prior to this conference:

Approaches to anticipating the future:

Suggested

  1. Morrison, J. L. (1996). "Anticipating the Future." On the Horizon, 4(3), 2-3.
  2. Morrison, J. L. (1997). "Transforming Educational Organizations" On the Horizon, 5(1), 2-3.
  3. Morrison, J. L. (1992). "Environmental Scanning.” In M. A. Whitely, J. D. Porter, and R. H. Fenske (Eds.), A Primer for New Institutional Researchers (pp. 86-99). Tallahassee, Florida: The Association for Institutional Research.
  4. Simpson, E. G., McGinty, D. L., and Morrison, J. L. Environmental Scanning at the Georgia Center for Continuing Education: A Progress Report. Continuing Higher Education Review, 1-20.

Additional

  1. Mack, T. "An Interview with a Futurist." Futures Research Quarterly, 2003, 19 (1), 61-69
  2. Morrison, J. L. US Higher Education in Transition. On the Horizon, 2003, 11(1), 6-10.
  3. Morrison, J. L. & Wilson, I (1997). "Analyzing Environments and Developing Scenarios for Uncertain Times.” in M. W. Peterson, D. D. Dill, L. A. Mets, and Associates (eds.), Planning and Management for a Changing Environment. San Francisco: Jossey-Bass Publishers.
  4. Ashley, W. L. & Morrison, J. L. (1996). "Anticipatory Management Tools for the 21st Century.” Futures Research Quarterly, 12 (2), 35-49.
  5. Ashley, W. L. & Morrison, J. L. (1997). "Anticipatory Management Tools for Better Decision Making.The Futurist, 31(5), 47-50.
  6. Morrison, J. L., Renfro, W. L., and Boucher, W. (1984). Futures Research and the Strategic Planning Process. (1984). ASHE-ERIC Higher Education Research Report.
  7. Morrison, J. L. (2005). "Experiencing the Online Revolution." In G. Kearsley (ed.),Online learning: Personal Reflections on the Transformation of Education. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Educational Technology Publications.

Mailing List
All participants will be enrolled in the workshop mailing list (qatar@listserv.unc.edu) as a means of allowing them to ask and respond to questions prior to, during, and after the workshop.

Agenda

Tuesday, May 1

0830-0900  

Registration

0900-1045 

What hinders, what helps, in anticipating the future

1045-1130 An environmental scan: Driving forces affecting the future of higher education
1130-1145 Break
1145-1230 Identifying critical trends
1230-1330 Lunch

1330-1430   

Discussion/prioritization of critical trends

1430-1515  

Group critical trend reports

1515-1530 Break

1530-1600    

Identifying potential events

1600-1615

Discussion of critical events

1615-1500

Discussion of critical events

Wednesday, May 2

0900-0920 Prioritize events
0920-0945 Identify the signals that the five most critical events could occur
0945-1000 Prepare group report of five most critical events and the signals that they could occur

1000-1045

Group critical event reports

1040-1100

Break

1100-1200

Strategic foresight tools and techniques
Using the probability-impact chart

1200-1300

Lunch

1300-1400

Probability-impact exercise group reports

1400-1415

Strategic foresight tool: impact networks

1415-1430

Break

1430-1515

Prepare and present impact network exercise group reports

1515-1630

Environmental scanning as a strategic operational and management planning tool and a tool for organizational development

1630-1700

Wrap-up


 

HISTORYPROJECTSTHE TECHNOLOGY SOURCECOURSESCONFERENCESON-RAMP
SEARCHFEEDBACK
LINE
All material within the HORIZON site, unless otherwise noted, may be distributed freely for educational purposes. If you do redistribute any of this material, it must retain this copyright notice and you must use appropriate citation including the URL. Also, we would appreciate your sending James L. Morrison a note as to how you are using it. HTML and design by Noel Fiser, ©2006. Page last modified: 8/29/2005 4:53:41 PM. 11739 visitors since February 2000.