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Developing Foresight Capability at Qatar University

James L. Morrison, Facilitator

Qatar University, like all institutions of higher education in the Middle East and around the world, are being bombarded by tumultuous forces for change in the political, technological, social, economic, and environmental sectors, locally and globally. The impact of globalization, shifting demographics, increasing competition from traditional and emerging educational providers, the need for more educated workers, and new technologies will fundamentally modify the structure and function of colleges and universities in the coming decades. In order to plan effectively in this environment, institutional leaders must be able to anticipate the direction and implications of these forces. This requires foresight capability.

Objectives

The objective of this workshop is to assist us to enhance the competency of institutional leaders to systematically factor the external environment into their planning activities. The expected outcomes are that workshop participants will gain experience in:

  • identifying and operationally defining critical trends that define the context within which Qatar University will function in the coming decade;
  • identifying and operationally defining potential events that could affect Qatar University in the future;
  • drafting implications and recommended actions for selected trends and events;
  • using strategic foresight tools to analyze and interpret potential events that could affect Qatar University.

Preparation 

Participants are requested to review the following publications prior to this conference:

1. Mack, T. "An Interview with a Futurist." Futures Research Quarterly, 2003, 19 (1), 61-69.
2. Morrison, J. L. (1996). "Anticipating the Future." On the Horizon, 4(3), 2-3.
3. Morrison, J. L. (1997). "Transforming Educational Organizations" On the Horizon, 5(1), 2-3.
4. Morrison, J. L. (2005). "Experiencing the Online Revolution." In G. Kearsley (ed.),Online learning: Personal Reflections on the Transformation of Education. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Educational Technology Publications.

Agenda

Monday, July 16

0830-0915  

Introduction/Orientation: How do we anticipate the future

0915-1015 

Video: "Discovering the Future: The Business of Paradigms"

1015-1030 Break
1030-1130 Identifying and working with critical trends
1130-1200 Discussion/prioritization of critical trends

1200-1300   

Lunch

1300-1315  

Draft implications of most critical trends for Qatar University

1315-1330  Preparation for critical trend reports
1330-1500  Critical trend reports
1500-1530 Break

1530-1630    

Identifying and working with potential events

1630-1700

Discussion of critical events/Prioritizing critical events

Tuesday, July 17

0900-0930 Identify the signals that the five most critical events could occur
0930-1000 Derive the implications of one event for Qatar University and recommended action in light of these implications
1000-1015 Break
1015-1045 Prepare group report of five most critical events, the signals that they could occur, the implications for Qatar University of one event, and recommended action in light of these implications
1045-1200 Group reports
1200-1300 Lunch

1300-1400

Strategic foresight tools and techniques
Using the probability-impact chart

1400-1500

Probability-impact exercise group reports

1500-1530

Break

1530-1615

Strategic foresight tool: impact networks

1615-1645

Prepare and present impact network exercise group reports

1645-1700

Wrap-up


 

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